If Obama and Trump went head-to-head in the 2028 election, here’s who would win

It sounds impossible — “Donald Trump and Barack Obama facing off in a presidential election” — but a new poll shows Americans already have opinions about it.

The 22nd Amendment limits presidents to two terms, making this matchup illegal. Still, speculation continues, especially after Trump said, “I’d love that. That would be a good one,” when asked about running against Obama in 2028. He added, “They do say there’s a way you can do it, but I don’t know about that.”

Trump has teased the idea before, hinting that “a lot of people” want him to try and that there might be “methods” to make it happen. Obama, meanwhile, has stayed silent.

A Daily Mail/J.L. Partners poll of 1,013 voters found 52% would vote for Obama and 41% for Trump. Among Hispanic voters, 73% favored Obama, and 68% of Black voters did too. Obama was also the only Democrat to beat Trump in any hypothetical matchup.

Both men have shaped modern U.S. politics — Obama through his 2008 and 2012 wins, and Trump through his unconventional campaigns. A real Trump–Obama race would need a constitutional amendment — “a nearly impossible feat” — but even an imaginary contest shows how deeply they still divide and define America.

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