Donald Trump proposed a national “tariff dividend” on Truth Social, promising “a dividend of at least $2,000 a person (not including high income people!)” funded through taxes on imports.

He argued tariffs strengthen the U.S. economy, saying, “People that are against Tariffs are FOOLS! We are now the Richest, Most Respected Country In the World, With Almost No Inflation, and A Record Stock Market Price.” Trump claimed the policy boosts investment and jobs by redirecting foreign trade profits back to Americans.

However, experts question both the math and legality. The U.S. collected about $195 billion in customs duties through September 2025 — far below the estimated $300–$500 billion needed to cover the payouts. Some suggest any distribution would more likely appear as tax credits or healthcare rebates rather than direct payments.

Economists urge caution, noting there’s no official plan or timeline for the proposed dividend. As one warned, “You shouldn’t factor in the $2,000 to any spending you might have planned.”

In short, while the idea appeals to many voters, analysts say it remains a campaign promise rather than a confirmed economic policy.